The Future Impact of AI – More Important Than Fire?
Edited by Ingo Becker
Artificial Intelligence (AI) has won big, again. In January, not only CES’ range of innovations pushed it (again) – after spectacular hooks like citizenship for robot Sophia or DeepMind became able to teach walking to itself. At crisp World Economic Forum 2018 Sundar Pichai, CEO Google, recently talked about the rise of the technology, just after he had made a groundbreaking statement regarding its future impact: “AI will be more important than fire and electricity.”
Where Is The Beef: AI ‘Pour On Rocket Fuel’
Four emerging next transformative technology waves – so-called innovation S-curves – were analysed by Benedict Evans of American venture capital firm Andreessen Horowitz in his presentation “10 Year Futures (Vs. What’s Happening Now)” (2017).
Post: a few weeks ago I gave the keynote at a16z’s ‘Tech Summit’ conference, talking about the state of tech today and what’s likely to happen in the next decade: mobile, GAFA, ML, autonomous cars, mixed reality and crypto-currencies. https://t.co/BxlUlj5IaM
— Benedict Evans (@BenedictEvans) 6. Dezember 2017
From the four emerging technologies pointed-out ––
- Autonomy stuck somewhere in the the gate where the goal was to get it to work,
- Cryptocurrency was where the technology worked and a suitable product market is to be identified,
- Mixed Reality is shown to be at a stage between the two.
- And AI was in the stage be be ‘pour on rocket fuel’.
Shift to AI-First – Computing Becomes More Intelligent
“When I look at where computing is heading, I see how machine learning and artificial intelligence are unlocking capabilities […] This means that the power of the software — the “smarts” — really matter for hardware more than ever before. […] In the next 10 years, we will shift to a world that is AI-first, a world where computing becomes universally available […] and interacting with all of these surfaces becomes much more natural and intuitive, and above all, more intelligent.”
– Additionally about “Making AI work for everyone” regarding machine learning (2017):
“This shift isn’t just about building futuristic devices or conducting cutting-edge research. We also think it can help millions of people today by democratizing access to information and surfacing new opportunities.”
In an one-on-one talk with Klaus Schwab, the initiator of WEF, Picar pointed out that, despite all concerns about the impact on human beings’ work and life, the potential benefits couldn’t be ignored –– “The risks are substantial, but the way you solve it is by looking ahead, thinking about it, thinking about AI safety from day one, and to be transparent and open about how we pursue it.”
But as well at WEF, Jack Ma, founder of Alibaba.com, talked openly about chances and risks, stating:
“I think AI should support human beings. Technology should always do something that enables people. […] The computer will always be smarter than you are; they never forget, they never get angry. But computers can never be as wise a man.“
– Title photo: 9to5Google